T\u00e1c gi\u1ea3: Ian Bremmer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Donald Trump s\u1ebd c\u00f3 quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i n\u1ed9i r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn, t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 li\u00ean bang v\u00e0 vi\u1ebft l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf khi \u00f4ng quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9, th\u00ec n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n NEW YORK \u2013 Chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng vang d\u1ed9i c\u1ee7a Donald Trump trong cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00f4ng n\u00ean l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 ai. T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng th\u1ee9 45 v\u00e0 th\u1ee9 47 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00e0nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng nh\u1edd m\u1ed9t l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng ch\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ea3ng c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3, l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t nghi\u00eam kh\u1eafc h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3ng c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed n\u0103m nay. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, Ph\u00f3 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Kamala Harris l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi “\u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhi\u1ec7m” c\u00f3 m\u00e0n tr\u00ecnh di\u1ec5n t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed \u1edf c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia gi\u00e0u c\u00f3 trong n\u0103m nay \u2013 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y nh\u1edd \u1edf chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00f3 t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a b\u00e0, \u1ee9ng c\u1eed vi\u00ean Trump \u00edt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c y\u00eau th\u00edch trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, v\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t m\u00e3n r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i c\u1ee7a c\u1eed tri \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 di c\u01b0 cao v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, di s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u sau \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. M\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng th\u00f4ng tin ph\u00e2n c\u1ef1c c\u1ef1c \u0111oan, chia r\u1ebd n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea3ng ph\u00e1i, khi\u1ebfn chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Kamala Harris g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n n\u00e0y. Ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ea3ng ph\u00e1i n\u00e0o gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng khi t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhi\u1ec7m th\u1ea5p nh\u01b0 hi\u1ec7n nay, v\u00e0 khi c\u00f3 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9 ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang \u0111i sai h\u01b0\u1edbng. Nh\u00ecn t\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 n\u00e0y, th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Harris c\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u kh\u00f3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n L\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed ph\u1ed5 th\u00f4ng sau 20 n\u0103m (nh\u1edd c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 t\u1eeb g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c nh\u00f3m d\u00e2n c\u01b0 v\u00e0 g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 m\u1ecdi khu v\u1ef1c), Trump s\u1ebd nh\u1eadm ch\u1ee9c kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ee5 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng m\u00e0 c\u00f2n v\u1edbi quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111a s\u1ed1 b\u1ea3o th\u1ee7 trong T\u00f2a \u00e1n T\u1ed1i cao. \u00d4ng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 quy\u1ec1n t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i n\u1ed9i r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn, t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 li\u00ean bang v\u00e0 vi\u1ebft l\u1ea1i c\u00e1c chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, n\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trump c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn Hoa K\u1ef3, n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a Trump s\u1ebd ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean, khi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1edbn (ngo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c k\u1ebft th\u00fac cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn d\u00e0i nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u1edf Afghanistan). Trump th\u1eadm ch\u00ed \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i, bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i thi\u1ebft Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i T\u1ef1 do B\u1eafc M\u1ef9 (nay l\u00e0 Hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh M\u1ef9-Mexico-Canada), c\u00e1c Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn Abraham \u1edf Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, vi\u1ec7c chia s\u1ebb chi ph\u00ed c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng h\u01a1n gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean NATO, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c li\u00ean minh an ninh m\u1edbi v\u00e0 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, Trump v\u1eabn l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y b\u1ed1n n\u0103m, c\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t t\u00edch c\u1ef1c v\u00e0 ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c, v\u00e0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi quan c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng v\u1eabn kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng v\u1eabn mang t\u00ednh \u0111\u01a1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 t\u00ednh giao d\u1ecbch m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u0169ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1eafc c\u1eed v\u1eabn t\u1ecf ra thi\u1ebfu quan t\u00e2m c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ed5 nhi\u1ec7m v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng quan ch\u1ee9c c\u1ea5p cao c\u00f3 t\u01b0 t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e0 kinh nghi\u1ec7m ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p, s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh “N\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 Tr\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u00ean” ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u. Nh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n vi\u00ean s\u1ef1 nghi\u1ec7p c\u00f3 t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t th\u1ec3 ch\u1ebf, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf nh\u1eefng xu h\u01b0\u1edbng g\u00e2y r\u1ed1i lo\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng, \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n; thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi trung th\u00e0nh \u00edt kinh nghi\u1ec7m h\u01a1n, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi sau n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 thay th\u1ebf h\u1ecd. C\u00e1c c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i trong nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a Trump s\u1ebd trung th\u00e0nh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea7u nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kinh nghi\u1ec7m h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1edf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t, th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean nguy hi\u1ec3m h\u01a1n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi \u00f4ng l\u1ea7n cu\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn v\u1ecb tr\u00ed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng. Nh\u1eefng th\u00e0nh t\u1ef1u trong nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a Trump di\u1ec5n ra trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u00e0 trong m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb kh\u00e1 thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, hai cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c, s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh gia t\u0103ng v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng li\u1ec1u l\u0129nh t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 Nga, Iran v\u00e0 Tri\u1ec1u Ti\u00ean, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ch\u1eadm ch\u1ea1p, c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 nh\u01b0 tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o s\u1ebd \u0111\u1eb7t ra nh\u1eefng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a Trump.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 r\u1ee7i ro cao h\u01a1n, v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i “N\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 Tr\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u00ean” kh\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2016. Nh\u1eefng k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 c\u1ef1c \u0111oan gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra cao h\u01a1n. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Trump v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i nh\u1edd v\u00e0o ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c giao d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 \u0111i sai h\u01b0\u1edbng l\u1ea1i l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, Trump s\u1ebd \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, sau khi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Biden \u0111\u00e3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa hai qu\u1ed1c gia. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng thu\u1ebf nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng. T\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 thu\u1ebf quan m\u00e0 Trump \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t v\u00e0 li\u1ec7u Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ea5y c\u00f2n c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n thay v\u00ec tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a hay kh\u00f4ng, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng vi\u1ec7c leo thang n\u00e0y s\u1ebd th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1. D\u00f9 sao, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh nh\u1eefng kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cao l\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u m\u00e0 Trump c\u00f9ng n\u1ed9i c\u00e1c di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a \u01b0a chu\u1ed9ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i quan h\u1ec7 gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t “chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ea1nh” m\u1edbi, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng, t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1eafc c\u1eed s\u1ebd c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn Abraham \u0111\u1eb7c tr\u01b0ng c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 bao g\u1ed3m \u1ea2 R\u1eadp X\u00ea \u00dat, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea5p \u201cm\u1ed9t t\u1ea5m s\u00e9c tr\u1eafng\u201d cho Israel trong vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c n\u00e0o nh\u1eb1m h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf t\u1ed5n th\u1ea5t nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea1o ho\u1eb7c r\u1ee7i ro leo thang t\u1eeb c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 Trump s\u1ebd \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u2013 n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n n\u00f3i l\u00e0 khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch \u2013 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Israel Benjamin Netanyahu trong vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n Iran m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n v\u00e0 m\u00e3i m\u00e3i, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u00e0 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, Trump \u0111\u00e3 cam k\u1ebft s\u1ebd ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn tranh \u1edf Ukraine trong “m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0y” \u2013 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi \u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c nh\u1eadm ch\u1ee9c \u2013 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p \u0111\u01a1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00ean T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Volodymyr Zelensky v\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Vladimir Putin \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ecd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn, ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t cu\u1ed9c xung \u0111\u1ed9t t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 cho Kyiv l\u00e0m \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 hai b\u00ean. Li\u1ec7u h\u1ecd c\u00f3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n n\u00e0y hay kh\u00f4ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi b\u1ecf ng\u1ecf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec1u s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o c\u00e1ch ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia NATO tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u \u2013 Ba Lan, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia Baltic v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc B\u1eafc \u00c2u \u2013 coi h\u00e0nh vi x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Nga l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda sinh t\u1eed \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng chi ph\u00ed l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 Ukraine n\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 r\u00fat lui. Nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1eaft m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn, d\u00f9 v\u00ec l\u00fd do l\u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng (nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ee7a Hungary), l\u00fd do ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb (Italy), hay l\u00fd do t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh (\u0110\u1ee9c). Nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 th\u1ee9 hai c\u1ee7a Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 ch\u1ea5t x\u00fac t\u00e1c cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ebft ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng an ninh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n, th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t h\u01a1n v\u00e0 \u201cchi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7\u201d h\u01a1n. Ho\u1eb7c, n\u00f3 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng chia r\u1ebd hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3 trong Li\u00ean minh Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng li\u00ean minh xuy\u00ean \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng, v\u00e0 m\u1eddi g\u1ecdi th\u00eam s\u1ef1 x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1eeb Nga.<\/p>\n\n\n\n D\u00f9 theo c\u00e1ch n\u00e0o, s\u1ef1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trump s\u1ebd m\u1edf ra m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n gia t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 th\u1ea3m kh\u1ed1c v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ed9t ph\u00e1 kh\u00f3 tin.<\/p>\n\n\n\n –<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ian Bremmer, ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a Eurasia Group v\u00e0 GZERO Media, l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban \u0110i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a C\u01a1 quan T\u01b0 v\u1ea5n C\u1ea5p cao Li\u00ean H\u1ee3p Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 Tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 Nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n