{"id":481,"date":"2024-10-04T03:36:24","date_gmt":"2024-10-04T03:36:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/phongtraoduytan.com\/?p=481"},"modified":"2024-10-04T03:36:24","modified_gmt":"2024-10-04T03:36:24","slug":"trung-quoc-se-tro-thanh-mot-nhat-ban-ke-tiep","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/?p=481","title":{"rendered":"Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n k\u1ebf ti\u1ebfp"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
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T\u00e1c gi\u1ea3: Harald Malmgren v\u00e0 Nicholas Glinsman<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li\u1ec7u Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp theo v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng? Li\u1ec7u n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990? C\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i g\u1eadt \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u1eafc n\u1ecbch. N\u1ee3 h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean 62% GDP v\u00e0o n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, t\u1eeb 28% c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y m\u1ed9t th\u1eadp k\u1ef7. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 so s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi tr\u1ea3i nghi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, khi n\u1ee3 h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh t\u0103ng l\u00ean h\u01a1n 60% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1989 t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng 26% v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1971 (xem H\u00ecnh 1).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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H\u00ecnh 1. N\u1ee3 h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u00e0 n\u1ee3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
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T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh l\u1ebd ra n\u00ean nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990 h\u01a1n l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean X\u00f4.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

N\u1ee3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao, kho\u1ea3ng 160% GDP\u2014cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh 145% c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, nh\u00e2n kh\u1ea9u h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhanh h\u01a1n c\u1ea3 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, v\u1edbi t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i v\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 gi\u00e0 h\u00f3a l\u1edbn h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u1edf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean sau s\u00e1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, l\u00e0 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng nh\u00e2n kh\u1ea9u h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110i\u1ec3m ngo\u1eb7t v\u1ec1 nh\u00e2n kh\u1ea9u h\u1ecdc c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1eb7t n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y tr\u00ean c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, n\u01a1i d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2010 v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 li\u00ean t\u1ee5c suy gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3. Li\u00ean Hi\u1ec7p Qu\u1ed1c d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 1,31 t\u1ef7 v\u00e0o tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u0103m 2050 v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n 767 tri\u1ec7u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u1ebf k\u1ef7. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho n\u0103m 2050 m\u00f4 t\u1ea3 r\u1eb1ng d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c g\u1ea5p 3,5 l\u1ea7n d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t 375 tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u0111\u00f3. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c g\u1ea5p 4,3 l\u1ea7n d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 Hoa K\u1ef3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

M\u1ed9t l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c so s\u00e1nh kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 v\u1ee1 bong b\u00f3ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c. T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean, gi\u1eefa hai qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t l\u1edbn. B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u00e0 \u1edf th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh so v\u1edbi Tokyo v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn b\u1ecb chi ph\u1ed1i b\u1edfi khu v\u1ef1c nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, t\u00e0i kho\u1ea3n v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u00f3ng, khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 \u00edt l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m c\u1ea3 cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 nh\u00e0 \u1edf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft. Trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, ngay c\u1ea3 khi doanh s\u1ed1 b\u00e1n b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u1eabn s\u1ebd d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1eadt li\u1ec7u th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 so s\u00e1nh trong H\u00ecnh 2.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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H\u00ecnh 2. X\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e2u h\u1ecfi \u0111\u1eb7t ra l\u00e0 li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m g\u00ec \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111ang \u1edf d\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e1y. C\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m \u00e1p l\u1ef1c n\u1ee3 cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n t\u00ednh thanh kho\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, nh\u01b0ng th\u1eadt kh\u00f4ng may, ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c r\u1ea5t \u00edt ho\u1eb7c r\u1ea5t h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1ed1t l\u00f5i l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m c\u1ee7a h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh trong vi\u1ec7c mua nh\u00e0 m\u1edbi c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

X\u00e9t v\u1ec1 t\u1ea7m quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i, s\u1ef1 so s\u00e1nh tr\u1edf n\u00ean n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt. M\u1ed9t m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh m\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y l\u1ea1c quan v\u1ec1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c. C\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ng\u00e0nh tr\u1ee5 c\u1ed9t \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, chi\u1ebfm 20% t\u1ed5ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 30% t\u1ed5ng ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n cho ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Theo \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Trung t\u00e2m B\u00e1o c\u00e1o C\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng Qu\u1ed1c gia (Center for National Balance Sheet), b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n chi\u1ebfm 40,4% t\u1ed5ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2019, gi\u1ea3m t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh 53,5% v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2000 (H\u00ecnh 3). \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2019 cho th\u1ea5y b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n 60% t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1. M\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh l\u1edbn tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng (m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i 5% trong \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd k\u00e9o gi\u1ea3m t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP kho\u1ea3ng 0,6\u20130,7%) v\u00e0 gia t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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H\u00ecnh 3. T\u00e0i s\u1ea3n h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u00e1y v\u00e0 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2020\u20132021 l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p. N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng m\u1edbi sau khi tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t suy gi\u1ea3m l\u1edbn, ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 r\u1eb1ng nhu c\u1ea7u c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u1ec1 nh\u00e0 \u1edf s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m 4% m\u1ed7i n\u0103m (d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a JPMorgan) trong th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eeb g\u00f3c \u0111\u1ed9 v\u0129 m\u00f4, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y g\u1ee3i \u00fd r\u1eb1ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba trong trung v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, ngay c\u1ea3 khi t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c t\u1eeb th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n tr\u1edf n\u00ean nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li\u1ec7u \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m l\u1edbn trong t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990? C\u00f3 l\u1ebd, vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u mong mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t h\u00e0ng ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao h\u01a1n, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf xanh v\u00e0 c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng m\u1edbi. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

S\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa hi\u1ec7u su\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd trong c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 khi so v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u00fat k\u00e9m l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt trong n\u0103m nay, v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c nh\u01b0 v\u1eady trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m t\u1edbi nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i kinh t\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho m\u1ed9t l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111ang y\u1ebfu v\u00e0 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c suy y\u1ebfu. L\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp, khi xem x\u00e9t \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, \u0111\u00fang v\u1eady, Trung Qu\u1ed1c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gi\u1ed1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y g\u1ee3i \u00fd v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra m\u1ed9t th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 m\u1ea5t m\u00e1t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t khi xem x\u00e9t \u0111\u1ebfn \u201cqu\u1ea3 bom h\u1eb9n gi\u1edd” nh\u00e2n kh\u1ea9u h\u1ecdc \u0111ang b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean c\u00e1c d\u1eef li\u1ec7u hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 l\u1ebd Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh n\u00ean nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 m\u1ea5t m\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang, thay v\u00ec t\u1eadp trung n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c hi\u1ec3u m\u1ecdi kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 Li\u00ean X\u00f4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng. Nh\u01b0 ch\u00fang ta \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebft, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, khi lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n v\u00e0 thay th\u1ebf h\u1ecd b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 l\u00fd lu\u1eadn ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 L\u00fd Kh\u1eafc C\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 L\u01b0u H\u1ea1c \u0111\u00e3 ra \u0111i, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thay th\u1ebf b\u1edfi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00fd lu\u1eadn ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb nh\u01b0 L\u00fd C\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 V\u01b0\u01a1ng H\u1ed7 Ninh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng \u01b0u ti\u00ean sang c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u00ean c\u1ea7u (s\u1ef1 k\u00edch th\u00edch v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ch\u1ed1ng chu k\u1ef3).<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng x\u1ea3y ra cho \u0111\u1ebfn tu\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0y 6 th\u00e1ng 3, trong k\u1ef3 h\u1ecdp Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng ni\u00ean. Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch T\u1eadp \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1ea3i qua m\u1ed9t giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u201cv\u1ecbt qu\u00e8” tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1eb7c \u0111i\u1ec3m ri\u00eang c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y, s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t b\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng covid v\u00e0 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p phong t\u1ecfa tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u1ea5t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. \u0110\u00e3 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1, trong \u0111\u00f3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n g\u00f5 n\u1ed3i ni\u00eau v\u00e0 la h\u00e9t b\u00e0y t\u1ecf s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0i l\u00f2ng t\u1eeb c\u1eeda s\u1ed5. Ti\u1ebfp theo l\u00e0 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 trong \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf n\u00ean b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c. Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, ch\u00fang ta ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh “gi\u1ea5y tr\u1eafng”\u2014n\u01a1i ng\u01b0\u1eddi bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh gi\u01a1 cao nh\u1eefng t\u1edd gi\u1ea5y tr\u1eafng\u2014trong c\u00f4ng c\u1ed9ng, ban \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng c\u00e1 nh\u00e2n \u0111\u01a1n l\u1ebb v\u00e0 nhanh ch\u00f3ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n th\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh l\u1edbn \u1edf kh\u1eafp c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u1ea5n. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh tr\u1edf n\u00ean r\u1ea5t k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt, tr\u00e1nh c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1ecb c\u1ea5m theo ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t m\u00e3n s\u00e2u s\u1eafc, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p phong t\u1ecfa c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng covid.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u00ec v\u1eady, T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ea5y m\u00ecnh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng m\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ph\u1ee5c t\u00f9ng \u00fd ch\u00ed v\u00e0 m\u1ec7nh l\u1ec7nh c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng hi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng khi nh\u1eefng cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh c\u00f4ng khai kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c m\u00e0 l\u1ea1i mang t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t t\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t, c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1eadp t\u1eaft \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed3ng c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang. Do \u0111\u00f3, \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng covid, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c g\u1ee1 b\u1ecf t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf li\u00ean quan, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c x\u00e9t nghi\u1ec7m b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y c\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t l\u1eddi gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 d\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh, khi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea3m nh\u1eadn tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m. V\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 2 n\u0103m 2023, T\u1eadp \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u0103ng m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft tr\u00ean t\u1ea1p ch\u00ed ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Qiushi. Vi\u1ec7c Qiushi t\u00e1i b\u1ea3n c\u00e1c b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft ho\u1eb7c b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u0169 c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp, th\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf d\u1ea1ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9nh s\u1eeda, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u hi\u1ebfm g\u1eb7p. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ed9i \u0110\u1ea3ng l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 20 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 10 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, Qiushi \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 n\u0103m v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2020 \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1c th\u1ea3o c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng trong nhi\u1ec7m k\u1ef3 th\u1ee9 ba. Nh\u1eefng b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt nh\u01b0 v\u1eady th\u01b0\u1eddng mang nh\u1eefng th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p m\u1edbi m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch mu\u1ed1n nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh. Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n c\u0169 v\u00e0 m\u1edbi, v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng t\u1eeb\/c\u00e1ch di\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ea1t kh\u00e1c nhau \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t tham chi\u1ebfu quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So v\u1edbi tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb C\u00f4ng t\u00e1c Kinh t\u1ebf Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng (CEWC) hai th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc (bao g\u1ed3m m\u1ed9t \u0111o\u1ea1n tr\u00edch t\u1eeb b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp), gi\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng mang t\u00ednh th\u00e2n thi\u1ec7n h\u01a1n. Vi\u1ec7c \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 l\u00e0 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u trong c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh trong n\u0103m 2023. Trong phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u CEWC \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Qiushi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1, T\u1eadp \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng trong k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean h\u1eadu \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch ngang h\u00e0ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1998 (kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ch\u00e2u \u00c1) v\u00e0 2008 (kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t v\u1ec1 l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 trong n\u0103m 2023 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi n\u0103m 1998 v\u00e0 2008.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh c\u00f3 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00e9o t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0o h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch trung \u01b0\u01a1ng cho to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c t\u1eadp trung h\u00f3a quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau n\u00e0y, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng \u01b0u ti\u00ean t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u00ean cung sang c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u00ean c\u1ea7u (s\u1ef1 k\u00edch th\u00edch theo ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ch\u1ed1ng chu k\u1ef3). Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch, “c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf b\u00ean cung” l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t thu\u1eadt ng\u1eef \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2015 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00f3m t\u1eaft nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m c\u00f4ng su\u1ea5t d\u01b0 th\u1eeba trong ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro cho c\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y cao nh\u01b0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ng\u1ea7m. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong su\u1ed1t ba n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch b\u00ean cung ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch (gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng, b\u1ea3o l\u00e3nh vay, v.v.) \u0111\u1ec3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng. Trong c\u1ea3 hai tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p, k\u00edch th\u00edch b\u00ean c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp th\u1ee9 y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t t\u1ed5ng c\u1ea7u hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 cam k\u1ebft th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ch\u00fang v\u00e0 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 t\u1ef1 tin c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u00ednh:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– Kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng l\u00e0 \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u. T\u1eadp nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 trung b\u00ecnh l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng, v\u00ec h\u1ecd c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng cao nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 b\u1edfi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. T\u1eadp cho bi\u1ebft c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u00ean nh\u1eb1m t\u0103ng thu nh\u1eadp h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng (ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 vay mua nh\u00e0, vay mua xe, vay th\u1ebb t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng, v.v.). V\u1ec1 c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, T\u1eadp nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh nhu c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, xe n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u1edbi, ch\u0103m s\u00f3c ng\u01b0\u1eddi cao tu\u1ed5i, gi\u00e1o d\u1ee5c, y t\u1ebf, v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh c\u0169ng cam k\u1ebft n\u00e2ng cao t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 th\u00f4ng qua vi\u1ec7c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u00f4ng. \u00d4ng nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho nh\u1eefng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng y\u1ebfu k\u00e9m c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 kinh doanh. C\u00e1c l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 bao g\u1ed3m giao th\u00f4ng, n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, b\u1ea3o t\u1ed3n n\u01b0\u1edbc, n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, th\u00f4ng tin v\u00e0 vi\u1ec5n th\u00f4ng, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng tr\u00ecnh c\u00f4ng c\u1ed9ng kh\u00e1c, trong khu\u00f4n kh\u1ed5 K\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch 5 n\u0103m l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 14 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c (2021\u20132025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

– V\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh cho bi\u1ebft Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ea7n \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, so v\u1edbi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong n\u0103m 2023 trong b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng, do nhu c\u1ea7u b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m nhanh v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m trong t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ea1i sao T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh l\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft n\u1ed5i b\u1eadt v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y? Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i tin r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nh\u1eefng suy ngh\u0129 \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. B\u1eafc Kinh coi vi\u1ec7c tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng covid l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng l\u1edbn, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ea7n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf trong k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean h\u1eadu \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c r\u1eb1ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n s\u1ebd g\u00e2y th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban Th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ee5 B\u1ed9 Ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 2, l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t “chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng l\u1edbn v\u00e0 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh” trong c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c ph\u00f2ng ch\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t Covid-19 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 11 n\u0103m 2022. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi Covid n\u00e0y c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u h\u1ed7n lo\u1ea1n v\u00e0 g\u00e2y tranh c\u00e3i, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c mi\u1ec5n d\u1ecbch c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng nhanh h\u01a1n mong \u0111\u1ee3i v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf c\u1eeda kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn nay di\u1ec5n ra t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i su\u00f4n s\u1ebb. \u0110\u1ee3t s\u00f3ng Covid th\u1ee9 hai m\u00e0 m\u1ecdi ng\u01b0\u1eddi lo ng\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 trong k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 T\u1ebft Nguy\u00ean \u0110\u00e1n v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 1, \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eeb g\u00f3c nh\u00ecn c\u1ee7a l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o, \u0111\u1ee3t s\u00f3ng Covid sau khi tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng covid \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ch\u1ed7 cho vi\u1ec7c nghi ng\u1edd b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0o trong v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng qua. Gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y, \u01b0u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t Covid sang ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i kinh t\u1ebf. V\u1ec1 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111ang chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee9u tr\u1ee3 c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n sang k\u00edch th\u00edch t\u1ed5ng c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh v\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd l\u00e0m th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 m\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 nhu c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba? Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng mong \u0111\u1ee3i ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba, m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u1eeb th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u quan tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 28 th\u00e1ng 2 n\u0103m 2023, tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ef3 h\u1ecdp Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n, T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh cho bi\u1ebft \u0110\u1ea3ng s\u1ebd tri\u1ec3n khai c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u201c\u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac\u201d trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c khoa h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7\u2014nh\u1eefng l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t khi M\u1ef9 \u0111ang n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn c\u00e1c vi m\u1ea1ch m\u00e1y t\u00ednh ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn v\u00e0 c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 cao kh\u00e1c. \u00d4ng c\u0169ng cho bi\u1ebft ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh s\u1ebd \u201ct\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00f4ng t\u00e1c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0110\u1ea3ng\u201d trong c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 \u201c\u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0110\u1ea3ng\u201d trong c\u00e1c hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i ng\u00e0nh ngh\u1ec1 v\u00e0 ph\u00f2ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111i s\u00e2u v\u00e0o chi ti\u1ebft. M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Ban Ch\u1ea5p h\u00e0nh Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0110\u1ea3ng ph\u00ea duy\u1ec7t, s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ecnh l\u00ean c\u01a1 quan l\u1eadp ph\u00e1p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong n\u0103m 2023.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

B\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u n\u00e0y n\u00eau r\u00f5 c\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c m\u00e0 T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh d\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u00e9o t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n v\u00e0o h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch trung \u01b0\u01a1ng cho to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. N\u00f3 c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0a nh\u1eefng ti\u1ebfn b\u1ed9 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0o c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00f3. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, T\u1eadp \u0111ang ti\u1ebft l\u1ed9 r\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd h\u01a1n gi\u1eefa n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 t\u01b0 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eadp trung h\u00f3a to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf m\u00e0 nh\u00e0 l\u00fd lu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ea3ng, V\u01b0\u01a1ng H\u1ed7 Ninh, \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n trong n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c t\u1eadp trung h\u00f3a n\u00e0y. Kinh nghi\u1ec7m c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean X\u00f4 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 t\u1eadp trung l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1edbi b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m, khi m\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c tu\u00e2n theo c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 th\u1ecb trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft. Nh\u1eefng sai l\u1ec7ch b\u1ecb x\u1eed ph\u1ea1t, ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed b\u1ecb coi l\u00e0 m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 h\u00f2a h\u1ee3p ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb. Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh nh\u1eefng ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i t\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y tr\u00ean kh\u1eafp Trung Qu\u1ed1c, c\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c c\u01b0\u1ee1ng ch\u1ebf m\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y kh\u00f4ng tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i; h\u1ecd t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch n\u00e9 tr\u00e1nh c\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 th\u1ecb t\u1eadp trung b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0 ph\u1edbt l\u1edd ch\u00fang.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Li\u00ean X\u00f4 nh\u1eadn ra r\u1eb1ng k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eadp trung c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh qu\u00e1 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd, h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ebfn tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng v\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng \u0111\u00e3 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Harald Malmgren l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ecdc v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c gia v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 an ninh \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ea3m nhi\u1ec7m c\u00e1c v\u1ecb tr\u00ed nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea1i s\u1ee9, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf v\u00e0 tr\u1ee3 l\u00fd cao c\u1ea5p cho Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 b\u1ed1n t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9. Nicholas Glinsman l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd chung c\u1ee7a c\u00f4ng ty Malmgren Glinsman Partners.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: Harald Malmgren v\u00e0 Nicholas Glinsman, \u201cChina Will Be The Next Japan<\/a>\u201d, International Economy<\/em>, \u0110\u00f4ng 2023.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch: Phong tr\u00e0o Duy T\u00e2n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Li\u1ec7u Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp theo v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng? Li\u1ec7u n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990? C\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e1i g\u1eadt \u0111\u1ea7u ch\u1eafc n\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,9,15,18],"tags":[71,120],"class_list":["post-481","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chinh-tri","category-kinh-te","category-the-gioi","category-trung-quoc","tag-harald-malmgren","tag-nicholas-glinsman"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/481","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=481"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/481\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=481"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=481"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=481"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}