{"id":148,"date":"2024-08-25T02:55:18","date_gmt":"2024-08-25T02:55:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/phongtraoduytan.com\/?p=148"},"modified":"2024-08-25T02:55:18","modified_gmt":"2024-08-25T02:55:18","slug":"viec-ukraine-chiem-lanh-tho-nga-co-the-giup-som-ket-thuc-chien-tranh","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/?p=148","title":{"rendered":"Vi\u1ec7c Ukraine chi\u1ebfm l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap s\u1edbm k\u1ebft th\u00fac chi\u1ebfn tranh"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>T\u00e1c gi\u1ea3: Andreas Umland<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>M\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 Kyiv \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ch\u1ec9 trong v\u00f2ng 4 ng\u00e0y, cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Nga-Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3. Cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m nh\u1eadp c\u1ee7a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Ukraine v\u00e0o khu v\u1ef1c Kursk c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u00e3 nhanh ch\u00f3ng tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine \u1edf Kharkiv v\u00e0 Kherson v\u00e0o m\u00f9a thu n\u0103m 2022. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a r\u00f5 li\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Nga b\u1ecb d\u00e0n m\u1ecfng v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c trang b\u1ecb k\u00e9m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cu\u1ed9c ti\u1ebfn c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine hay kh\u00f4ng, khi b\u00e1o c\u00e1o v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c \u0111o\u00e0n qu\u00e2n ti\u1ebfp vi\u1ec7n Nga b\u1ecb thi\u00eau ch\u00e1y g\u1ee3i nh\u1edb \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/phongtraoduytan.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Ukraines-Invasion-of-Russia-Could-Bring-a-Quicker-End-to-the-War.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-149\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine trong vi\u1ec7c g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd v\u00e0 khai th\u00e1c nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t, \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 ph\u00eda Nga v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u0110\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga b\u1ecb qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II, theo \u0111\u00f3 cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u m\u00e0 h\u1ecd g\u00e2y ra ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i qu\u00ea nh\u00e0 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Ukraine \u1edf ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng v\u00e0 Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch l\u00e0 t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o Ukraine.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, t\u1eebng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u cu\u1ed9c tranh lu\u1eadn \u1edf Washington, Berlin, v\u00e0 tr\u00ean c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n truy\u1ec1n th\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng l\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u1ecf c\u1ee7a \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin, v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9ng Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn III v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn tranh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n t\u1eadn th\u1ebf. V\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng l\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u0111em chi\u1ebfn tranh \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5t Nga b\u1eb1ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u2013 \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c. Ni\u1ec1m tin v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 leo thang kh\u00f4ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Biden v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i v\u0169 kh\u00ed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao cho Ukraine c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 ph\u1ea1m vi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho ph\u00e9p c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, Ukraine kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e9p s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng t\u00ean l\u1eeda c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u1edf bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi ph\u00eda Nga. M\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch Kursk c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3, m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa, ch\u1ee9ng minh s\u1ef1 sai l\u1ea7m c\u1ee7a l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 l\u1eb1n ranh \u0111\u1ecf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong l\u00fac chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch v\u1eabn \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0 Kyiv ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu gi\u1eef im l\u1eb7ng v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n, v\u1eabn c\u00f2n qu\u00e1 s\u1edbm \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00f3i v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u00e0 Ukraine hy v\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. M\u1ed9t suy \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u00e3 thu h\u00fat \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ef1 ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap chi\u1ebfn tranh k\u1ebft th\u00fac s\u1edbm h\u01a1n, b\u1edfi n\u00f3 cho T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Vladimir Putin th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng Ukraine c\u00f3 ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 g\u00e2y \u0111au \u0111\u1edbn cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga. V\u00e0 n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef v\u1eefng v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Nga \u2013 \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 h\u1ecd d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng trang thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb v\u00e0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 m\u1edbi \u2013 th\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y c\u1ee7a Ukraine trong b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng n\u00e0o nh\u1eb1m ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn tranh. Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed9t nh\u1eadp ch\u1edbp nho\u00e1ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine v\u00e0o Nga \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn r\u1eb1ng Putin \u0111ang gi\u1eef th\u1ebf th\u01b0\u1ee3ng phong trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kyiv d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y trong \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng. M\u1ed9t c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n gi\u1ea5u t\u00ean c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky n\u00f3i v\u1edbi t\u1edd&nbsp;<em>Washington Post<\/em>: \u201c\u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd mang l\u1ea1i cho h\u1ecd \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y m\u00e0 h\u1ecd c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi Nga \u2013 \u0111\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch.\u201d Ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi g\u1ee3i \u00fd g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a Zelensky r\u1eb1ng Kyiv s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n. Trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n v\u1edbi&nbsp;<em>BBC News&nbsp;<\/em>v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i: \u201cCh\u00fang t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfm l\u1ea1i t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5\u201d b\u1eb1ng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. \u201cT\u00f4i ngh\u0129 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00fap c\u1ee7a ngo\u1ea1i giao.\u201d C\u00e1c v\u00f9ng b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a Nga c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed5i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine: Nh\u01b0 c\u1ef1u Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Th\u1ee5y \u0110i\u1ec3n Carl Bildt \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t tr\u00ean X, \u201cLi\u1ec7u c\u00f3 \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 hai qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f9ng r\u00fat lui trong ph\u1ea1m vi bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng?\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>N\u1ebfu Kyiv \u0111ang chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng cho c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng \u2013 khi t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng khai r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u2013 th\u00ec \u0111\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>M\u1ed9t l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 m\u1ec7t m\u1ecfi v\u00ec chi\u1ebfn tranh \u0111ang ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng trong ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n Ukraine. D\u00f9 ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 m\u00e0 Nga chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2014 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi cho r\u1eb1ng Ukraine c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed5i m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea5y h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u0103ng l\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Th\u1ee9 hai, ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1eddi ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u1edf T\u00e2y \u00c2u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u01b0\u01a1ng Nam, v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Ukraine li\u00ean t\u1ee5c b\u00e1c b\u1ecf c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi Moscow. Ch\u01b0a b\u00e0n \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 quan tr\u1ecdng, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang ng\u1ea7m b\u00e0y t\u1ecf s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n, Kyiv c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 b\u1ecb xem l\u00e0 k\u1ebb c\u1ed1 t\u00ecnh ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft th\u00fac s\u1edbm cho cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a Ukraine \u0111ang r\u1ea5t r\u1ee7i ro, ngay c\u1ea3 khi n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u00ecm ch\u00e2n l\u00ednh Nga v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec d\u00f2ng v\u0169 kh\u00ed ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y. Ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 lo\u1ea1i tr\u1eeb kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Donald Trump chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng trong cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11 v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t ng\u1eebng vi\u1ec7n tr\u1ee3. Ngo\u00e0i ra, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Harris c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c g\u00f3i h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai n\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng h\u00f2a v\u1eabn gi\u1eef \u0111a s\u1ed1 t\u1ea1i H\u1ea1 vi\u1ec7n M\u1ef9. Zelensky c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e1nh c\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng n\u1eafm gi\u1eef \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y l\u1edbn h\u01a1n n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1edbm h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>V\u00ec kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y, Kyiv \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ea3i vi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c, quy chu\u1ea9n, v\u00e0 ph\u00e1p l\u00fd khi trao \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u1ec1 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh n\u00e0o kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n. Trong qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n nghi\u00eang h\u1eb3n v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t ph\u00eda. Trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n t\u1ea1o ra hi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ecbnh Minsk I v\u00e0 II n\u0103m 2014 v\u00e0 2015, Ukraine y\u1ebfu th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n b\u1ea5t kh\u1ea3 thi: H\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i Donbas do Nga ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t n\u1ebfu cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Moscow tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh th\u1ec3 Ukraine th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c b\u1ea7u c\u1eed \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng do \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin thao t\u00fang, qua \u0111\u00f3 mang l\u1ea1i cho Moscow quy\u1ec1n ph\u1ee7 quy\u1ebft v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Kyiv. Crimea b\u1ecb chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng v\u00e0 s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f2n kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 3\/2022, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp gi\u1eefa Ukraine v\u00e0 Nga \u1edf Belarus th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c Nga chuy\u1ec3n giao c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u h\u00e0ng cho Ukraine. Sang th\u00e1ng 4\/2022, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n do Th\u1ed5 Nh\u0129 K\u1ef3 l\u00e0m trung gian \u1edf Istanbul c\u0169ng ch\u1eb3ng \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e2u: c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ec3 Nga ch\u1ecbu ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 Ukraine b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ef1 v\u1ec7. T\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Nga lu\u00f4n l\u00e0 ngo\u00e0i Crimea, Ukraine s\u1ebd nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1ea1i v\u0129nh vi\u1ec5n b\u1ed1n v\u00f9ng Luhansk, Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, v\u00e0 Kherson \u2013 g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 m\u00e0 Nga ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Ukraine kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 thi\u1ebfu \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n, m\u00e0 Nga c\u00f2n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng trong vi\u1ec7c qu\u1ea3ng b\u00e1 t\u1edbi kh\u00e1n gi\u1ea3 tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u201c\u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ea5t l\u1ea5y h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh\u201d \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chi\u1ebfn tranh. Khi c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3n c\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine sau n\u0103m 2022 ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 c\u1ed7 m\u00e1y chi\u1ebfn tranh Nga d\u1ea7n chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 h\u01a1n \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Ukraine, m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ki\u1ec3u Minsk kh\u00e1c nh\u1eb1m h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1ef1 to\u00e0n v\u1eb9n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Ukraine t\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 g\u1ea7n k\u1ec1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Kyiv kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 thay \u0111\u1ed5i quan \u0111i\u1ec3m qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ecba m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng thay \u0111\u1ed5i quan \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u2013 t\u1eeb th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u201c\u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ea5t l\u1ea5y h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh\u201d sang th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn \u201c\u0111\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ea5t.\u201d Vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1eb7t Putin v\u00e0o th\u1ebf kh\u00f3: Vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ec3 m\u1ea5t quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Nga l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 s\u1ec9 nh\u1ee5c l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0110i\u1ec7n Kremlin. Nh\u01b0ng k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi ch\u00fang b\u1ecb Nga s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp b\u1ea5t h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p, c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Ukraine m\u00e0 Putin \u0111ang t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch gi\u1eef c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 \u00f4ng c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a v\u1ee5 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7. Tuy nhi\u00ean, trong gi\u1edbi tinh hoa Nga v\u00e0 theo nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn, vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ee3p ph\u00e1p c\u1ee7a Nga s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 v\u1eeba b\u1ecb chinh ph\u1ee5c \u2013 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t n\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u1ea5t m\u1edf ra con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1eabn t\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t c\u1ee7a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Trong ch\u1eebng m\u1ef1c n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Ukraine c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i cho nh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n v\u1eadt ch\u1ee7 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh trong gi\u1edbi l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o Nga \u2013 gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed h\u1ecd t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u00ean Putin \u2013 l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c s\u1ef1 to\u00e0n v\u1eb9n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a Nga. Ch\u1eebng n\u00e0o Ukraine c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 \u0111\u00e3 chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1edf Nga, th\u00ec s\u1ebd c\u00f3 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd bu\u1ed9c Putin ph\u1ea3i \u0111em ch\u00fang v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1i cho Moscow.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0o trong s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n: Nga \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1edbt l\u1edd h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft m\u1ecdi th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 k\u00fd v\u1edbi Ukraine. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1eddi Ukraine v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 \u1edf ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y \u0111ang hy v\u1ecdng chi\u1ebfn tranh k\u1ebft th\u00fac, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd s\u1edbm xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n tr\u00ean b\u00e0n \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Andreas Umland l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0110\u00f4ng \u00c2u thu\u1ed9c Vi\u1ec7n Quan h\u1ec7 Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Th\u1ee5y \u0110i\u1ec3n.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ngu\u1ed3n:<\/strong>&nbsp;Andreas Umland, \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2024\/08\/09\/kursk-russia-ukraine-offensive-invasion-war-negotiations\/\">Ukraine\u2019s Invasion of Russia Could Bring a Quicker End to the War<\/a>,\u201d&nbsp;<em>Foreign Policy,<\/em>&nbsp;09\/08\/2024<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Bi\u00ean d\u1ecbch:<\/strong>\u00a0Nguy\u1ec5n Th\u1ecb Kim Ph\u1ee5ng<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/nghiencuuquocte.org\/2024\/08\/13\/viec-ukraine-chiem-lanh-tho-nga-co-the-giup-som-ket-thuc-chien-tranh\/\">B\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfng Vi\u1ec7t<\/a> c\u1ee7a Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng t\u1ecf kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Ukraine trong vi\u1ec7c g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd v\u00e0 khai th\u00e1c nh\u1eefng b\u01b0\u1edbc ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t, \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 ph\u00eda Nga v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u cu\u1ed9c x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c. \u0110\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga b\u1ecb qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II, theo \u0111\u00f3 cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi Nga th\u1ea5y r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1eabm m\u00e1u m\u00e0 h\u1ecd g\u00e2y ra ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng \u0111\u00e3 quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i qu\u00ea nh\u00e0 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 Ukraine \u1edf ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng v\u00e0 Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c tri\u1ec3n khai chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch l\u00e0 t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o Ukraine.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3,26,15],"tags":[32,49,50,115,156],"class_list":["post-148","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-chinh-tri","category-nga","category-the-gioi","tag-andreas-umland","tag-chien-tranh-nga-ukraine","tag-chinh-tri","tag-nga","tag-ukraine"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/148","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=148"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/148\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=148"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}