T\u00e1c gi\u1ea3: \u0110inh Ho\u00e0ng Th\u1eafng (Phd, Fellow CRT)<\/p>\n\n\n\n
L\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ebfm l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00eau ra nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea1ng \u201cph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n g\u00e2y s\u1ed1c\u201d (1). Th\u1ef1c ra, \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 v\u00f4 ngh\u0129a n\u1ebfu d\u00f9ng l\u00e0m k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh ngo\u00e0i logic l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ngo\u1ea1i l\u1ec7. H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng. V\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea1i c\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ed9t ki\u1ec3u tranh lu\u1eadn l\u1ec7ch t\u1eeb g\u1ed1c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Nh\u1eefng \u00fd ki\u1ebfn kh\u00e1c nhau quanh chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i H\u00e0 N\u1ed9i, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa k\u00e9o d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t qu\u00e1n t\u00ednh quen thu\u1ed9c: ho\u1eb7c th\u1ea7n th\u00e1nh h\u00f3a \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c, ho\u1eb7c ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ecbnh s\u1ea1ch tr\u01a1n. M\u1ed9t b\u00ean nh\u00ecn Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 nghi ng\u1edd g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 b\u1ea3n n\u0103ng, coi m\u1ecdi d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 khai th\u00e1c tr\u00e1 h\u00ecnh; b\u00ean c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1eb7t k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c, nh\u01b0 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 c\u1ea7n \u201c\u0111\u1ee9ng c\u1ea1nh ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u00e0u\u201d th\u00ec t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean gi\u00e0u c\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n C\u1ea3 hai c\u00e1ch nh\u00ecn n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m chung \u0111\u00e1ng ng\u1ea1i: ch\u00fang bi\u1ebfn quan h\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c, n\u01a1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e2n vai nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng nh\u00e2n v\u1eadt \u201ct\u1ed1t\u201d hay \u201cx\u1ea5u\u201d. Nh\u01b0ng tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0o h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean thi\u1ec7n ch\u00ed thu\u1ea7n t\u00fay. L\u1ee3i \u00edch, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n c\u1ea3m, m\u1edbi l\u00e0 \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb \u0111o l\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a m\u1ecdi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Khi khung ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ec7ch ngay t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u, th\u00ec k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn d\u00f9 bi quan hay l\u1ea1c quan c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 hai phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ng\u1ed9 nh\u1eadn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u201cQu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ebfm l\u1eddi\u201d: m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1eadt hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean nh\u01b0ng b\u1ecb d\u00f9ng sai ch\u1ed7<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n L\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ebfm l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00eau ra nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea1ng \u201cph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n g\u00e2y s\u1ed1c\u201d. Th\u1ef1c ra, \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 v\u00f4 ngh\u0129a n\u1ebfu d\u00f9ng n\u00f3 l\u00e0m k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh ngo\u00e0i logic l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ngo\u1ea1i l\u1ec7. H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng. V\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea1i c\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u00ec th\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, m\u00e0 n\u1eb1m \u1edf n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a b\u00ean ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eadn. Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 bu\u1ed9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00f3 t\u1ea1o ra gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb lan t\u1ecfa hay kh\u00f4ng? C\u00f3 chuy\u1ec3n h\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd th\u00e0nh n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh hay kh\u00f4ng? \u0110\u00f3 m\u1edbi l\u00e0 c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u1eb7t ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ba th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c FDI \u0111\u00e3 cung c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ee7 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch t\u1ec9nh t\u00e1o. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c kh\u00e1c \u0111\u00e3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n quan tr\u1ecdng v\u00e0o h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng, c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0o t\u1ea1o ngu\u1ed3n nh\u00e2n l\u1ef1c. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, chuy\u1ec3n giao c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb gia t\u0103ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea1t nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng. \u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 ngh\u1ecbch l\u00fd. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 t\u1ef1 nhi\u00ean c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 m\u00e0 trong \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed9t b\u00ean ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n b\u00ean c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n G\u1ecdi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u201cth\u1ea3m h\u1ecda\u201d th\u00ec qu\u00e1 \u0111\u00e0. Nh\u01b0ng coi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u201cth\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng ki\u1ec3u m\u1eabu\u201d th\u00ec c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea1ng t\u1ef1 tr\u1ea5n an (2).<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0110\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm: t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean hay ph\u00e9p th\u1eed v\u1ec1 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0o trong tranh lu\u1eadn hi\u1ec7n nay b\u1ecb k\u00e9o c\u0103ng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm. N\u00f3 v\u1eeba \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem nh\u01b0 \u201cy\u1ebft h\u1ea7u chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d, v\u1eeba b\u1ecb lo ng\u1ea1i nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t \u201cc\u00e1i b\u1eaby t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean\u201d (3). Nh\u01b0ng c\u1ea3 hai c\u00e1ch di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecf qua \u0111i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t: t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean t\u1ef1 n\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch m\u1edbi l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1edf h\u1eefu \u0111\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm \u2013 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 mang l\u1ea1i c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n mang l\u1ea1i quy\u1ec1n m\u1eb7c c\u1ea3. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n c\u1ea7n ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ea7n c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi v\u1ecb tr\u00ed th\u1ea5p trong chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh hai \u1ea9n, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u1ed9t chi\u1ec1u.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Nh\u01b0ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n \u0111\u00e3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n cho th\u1ea5y, s\u1edf h\u1eefu t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi n\u1eafm l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf n\u1ebfu thi\u1ebfu n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u1ea3n tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 t\u01b0 duy \u0111\u1eb7t l\u1ee3i \u00edch qu\u1ed1c gia \u2013 d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c l\u00ean tr\u00ean h\u1ebft. N\u1ebfu k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp l\u1ea1i s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m tinh ch\u1ebf v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 cao h\u01a1n, th\u00ec v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c \u201cb\u1ecb khai th\u00e1c\u201d, m\u00e0 n\u1eb1m \u1edf t\u00e2m th\u1ebf t\u1ef1 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t v\u1ecb tr\u00ed th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n trong chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, \u0111\u1ea5t hi\u1ebfm kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u201cm\u1ecf v\u00e0ng\u201d hay \u201cc\u00e1i b\u1eaby\u201d. N\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u00e9p th\u1eed. V\u00e0 ph\u00e9p th\u1eed n\u00e0y \u0111o kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i b\u1eb1ng tr\u1eef l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c: th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1c quan, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ee7 r\u00f5 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ec9nh t\u00e1o<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1eafc l\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf m\u00e0 \u0111\u00f4i khi b\u1ecb b\u1ecf qua: Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee9ng gi\u1eefa m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn, m\u00e0 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng gi\u1eefa m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c c\u1ea1nh tranh. Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c \u0111\u1ec1u nh\u00ecn th\u1ea5y \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam m\u1ed9t m\u1eaft x\u00edch quan tr\u1ecdng trong t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng (4).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng, v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng sai. C\u00e1c t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng c\u1ee5m s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0o t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng. Nh\u01b0ng ch\u00ednh s\u1ef1 th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng n\u00e0y c\u0169ng ph\u01a1i b\u00e0y m\u1ed9t gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n kh\u00e1c: hi\u1ec7u \u1ee9ng lan t\u1ecfa sang khu v\u1ef1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba \u1edf Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eabn c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u1edbi hai t\u1ea7ng r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t: m\u1ed9t t\u1ea7ng FDI n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9ng, k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u; v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t t\u1ea7ng doanh nghi\u1ec7p n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u00f2n loay hoay trong chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb th\u1ea5p. \u0110\u00e2y tuy kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u00edch \u0111\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ee7 m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ec3 k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i hai t\u1ea7ng n\u00e0y, th\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c, nh\u01b0ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c n\u1ed9i sinh s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng theo k\u1ecbp. V\u00e0 khi \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ed5i h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c, ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebfn m\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n So s\u00e1nh v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c: khi b\u00e0i to\u00e1n b\u1ecb gi\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3c qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m chuy\u1ec3n sang \u0111\u1ec1 cao Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn \u201cth\u1ef1c t\u1ebf h\u01a1n\u201d c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111i\u1ec1u b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea1ng \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n h\u00f3a nguy hi\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y l\u00e0 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf. Nh\u01b0ng t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 suy ra r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay th\u1ebf vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c kh\u00e1c l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ea3y logic thi\u1ebfu c\u01a1 s\u1edf. M\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 g\u1eafn k\u1ebft c\u00e0ng cao, r\u1ee7i ro ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn \u2014 \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 quy lu\u1eadt, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i gi\u1ea3 thuy\u1ebft (5).<\/p>\n\n\n\n H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, quan h\u1ec7 kinh t\u1ebf trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u00e1ch r\u1eddi y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecba chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c. V\u00ec v\u1eady, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1eb7t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 theo ki\u1ec3u \u201cNh\u1eadt hay Trung, b\u00ean n\u00e0o h\u01a1n\u201d kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi sai t\u1eeb c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1eb7t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng c\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi sai nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng. Trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi m\u00e0 c\u00e1c chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u0111ang t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u00f3a, vi\u1ec7c t\u1ef1 thu h\u1eb9p l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4n ngoan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1: Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang ch\u01a1i cu\u1ed9c ch\u01a1i c\u1ee7a ai \u2013 v\u00e0 theo lu\u1eadt n\u00e0o?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0110\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi \u201ch\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c n\u00e0o l\u00e0 t\u00f4i \u01b0u\u201d tr\u1edf n\u00ean th\u1ee9 y\u1ebfu. \u0110i\u1ec1u quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n l\u00e0: Vi\u1ec7t Nam mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 n\u00e0y, v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng l\u00e0m g\u00ec \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c n\u00e0o t\u1ef1 nguy\u1ec7n chuy\u1ec3n giao l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 chu\u1ed7i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb n\u00e0o t\u1ef1 m\u1edf c\u1eeda n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c tham gia. V\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e0o th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng n\u1ebfu ch\u1ec9 d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u1ebfu Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n, kh\u00f4ng thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, kh\u00f4ng ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean v\u00e0 m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng, th\u00ec h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 ai c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c \u2014 \u0111\u00f4i khi r\u1ea5t \u0111\u1eaft gi\u00e1. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ee7 ki\u00ean \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c thi, th\u00ec s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea1i tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y hi\u1ebfm c\u00f3 (6).<\/p>\n\n\n\n Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 kh\u00f4ng n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c \u01b0u ti\u00ean trong quan h\u1ec7 l\u00e0m \u0103n v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c hay Trung Qu\u1ed1c. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01a1i trong cu\u1ed9c ch\u01a1i n\u00e0y hay ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 n\u01a1i cu\u1ed9c ch\u01a1i di\u1ec5n ra (7)<\/p>\n\n\n\n V\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3 m\u1edbi l\u00e0 ranh gi\u1edbi th\u1eadt s\u1ef1 gi\u1eefa c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i v\u00e0 th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Tham kh\u1ea3o:<\/p>\n\n\n\n (1 & 3) https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/share\/18XBX2vgao\/?mibextid=wwXIfr<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n (H\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n th\u00ec s\u1ebd \u0111i v\u00e0o th\u1ea3m h\u1ecda)<\/p>\n\n\n\n (2) https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=tOd-E7vQNzk<\/a> (To\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh chuy\u1ebfn th\u0103m ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ee7a Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n Takaichi Sanae)<\/p>\n\n\n\n (4) https:\/\/thediplomat.com\/2026\/04\/vietnam-and-south-korea-agree-to-boost-cooperation-on-supply-chains-nuclear-energy\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n (5) https:\/\/www.mufgresearch.com\/fx\/vietnam-reasons-to-remain-optimistic-while-factoring-in-trump-20-tariff-risks-13-january-2025\/?utm_source=chatgpt.com<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n (6) https:\/\/www.un-ilibrary.org\/content\/books\/9789211575477<\/a> (Report on the Implementation of the Investment Policy Review 4\/2026)<\/p>\n\n\n\n