T\u00e1c gi\u1ea3: Minh Nam<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00fat lui c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 kh\u1ecfi NATO, ho\u1eb7c \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh cam k\u1ebft, s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 s\u00e2u s\u1eafc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. M\u1ef9 t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 x\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh B\u1eafc \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng (NATO), \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 then ch\u1ed1t trong vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, r\u0103n \u0111e v\u00e0 \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a kh\u1ed1i. Vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 r\u00fat lui kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u0111\u1eb7t ra c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a ch\u00e2u \u00c2u trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i \u0111e d\u1ecda ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng gia t\u0103ng t\u1eeb Nga, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
\u00dd ngh\u0129a l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y n\u1eb1m \u1edf ch\u1ed7 M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 tr\u1ee5 c\u1ed9t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a NATO. Theo c\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t cho n\u0103m 2025, M\u1ef9 chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 60-62% t\u1ed5ng chi ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a to\u00e0n li\u00ean minh, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c chi l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n 1.000 t\u1ef7 USD (trong khi t\u1ed5ng chi ti\u00eau NATO v\u01b0\u1ee3t 1.400 t\u1ef7 USD). Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 M\u1ef9, ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng c\u1ee7a NATO s\u1ebd b\u1ecb c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda t\u00f9y theo c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh, khi\u1ebfn ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f3 duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. D\u00f9 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 Canada \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng chi ti\u00eau \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 (\u0111\u1ea1t trung b\u00ecnh h\u01a1n 2% GDP), kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch v\u1ec1 quy m\u00f4 v\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u1eabn r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn. Vi\u1ec7c b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 USD \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00eam trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, theo \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
V\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, M\u1ef9 hi\u1ec7n duy tr\u00ec kho\u1ea3ng 80.000 \u0111\u1ebfn 100.000 qu\u00e2n nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u, h\u1eadu c\u1ea7n v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 huy. S\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 bi\u1ec3u t\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 then ch\u1ed1t trong c\u00e1c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 t\u1eadp th\u1ec3, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u1ea1i s\u01b0\u1eddn ph\u00eda \u0110\u00f4ng (Ba Lan, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc Baltic). N\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 r\u00fat qu\u00e2n, NATO s\u1ebd m\u1ea5t ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c tri\u1ec3n khai nhanh v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng r\u0103n \u0111e tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 cung c\u1ea5p ch\u00ednh chi\u1ebfc d\u00f9 h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n (nuclear umbrella) cho ch\u00e2u \u00c2u. C\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 \u201cb\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m t\u1ed1i th\u01b0\u1ee3ng\u201d cho an ninh NATO, gi\u00fap ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng quy \u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u1ea3 nguy c\u01a1 leo thang h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7. Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 M\u1ef9, ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i kho v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Anh v\u00e0 Ph\u00e1p (kho\u1ea3ng v\u00e0i tr\u0103m \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1n), kh\u00f3 thay th\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vai tr\u00f2 r\u0103n \u0111e to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u00e0 uy t\u00edn c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nguy c\u01a1 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u ph\u1ea3i c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n ri\u00eang, g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
V\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, M\u1ef9 mang \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i m\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp nhanh ch\u00f3ng: m\u00e1y bay t\u00e0ng h\u00ecnh B-2, F-22 (ch\u1ec9 M\u1ef9 v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh), h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o s\u1edbm, t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o, v\u1ec7 tinh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn kh\u00e1c. Nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u00e0y t\u1ea1o n\u00ean l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u01b0\u1ee3t tr\u1ed9i v\u1ec1 nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng, ch\u1ec9 huy v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t (C2), c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c. M\u1ef9 c\u00f2n \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao \u2013 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng huy \u0111\u1ed9ng ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c, \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t v\u00e0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng li\u00ean minh r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn \u2013 v\u1ed1n l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng quan tr\u1ecdng h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a NATO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, m\u1ed9t NATO kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 c\u1ea3 quy m\u00f4, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7, r\u0103n \u0111e h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n l\u1eabn kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t. Ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi g\u00e1nh n\u1eb7ng chi ti\u00eau qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3, nguy c\u01a1 chia r\u1ebd n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 (gi\u1eefa \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 T\u00e2y \u00c2u), v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng b\u1ecb th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c l\u1edbn h\u01a1n t\u1eeb c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1ee7. Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00fat lui c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn an ninh ch\u00e2u l\u1ee5c m\u00e0 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m lung lay tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean li\u00ean minh, khuy\u1ebfn kh\u00edch ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a c\u00f4 l\u1eadp ho\u1eb7c c\u1ea1nh tranh v\u0169 trang m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n nay, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t l\u1eddi c\u1ea3nh t\u1ec9nh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd: an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c duy nh\u1ea5t, nh\u01b0ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng thay th\u1ebf vai tr\u00f2 then ch\u1ed1t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c, t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi duy tr\u00ec quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e2u d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00fat lui c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 kh\u1ecfi NATO, ho\u1eb7c \u00edt nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh cam k\u1ebft, s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t l\u1ecbch s\u1eed v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 s\u00e2u s\u1eafc \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi an ninh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1197,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,3,25],"tags":[190],"class_list":["post-1196","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chau-au","category-chinh-tri","category-hoa-ky","tag-minh-nam"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1196","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1196"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1196\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1198,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1196\/revisions\/1198"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1197"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1196"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1196"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1196"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}