T\u00e1c gi\u1ea3: John Spencer <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh the Urban Warfare Institute.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran \u0111\u00e3 b\u01b0\u1edbc sang ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 29. C\u00e0ng l\u00fac, vi\u1ec7c ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa ph\u00e2n t\u00edch qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u2013 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u00fd ki\u1ebfn mang t\u00ednh ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, suy \u0111o\u00e1n hay k\u1ec3 chuy\u1ec7n c\u00e0ng tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. Nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u1ed9i v\u00e0ng nh\u1ea3y t\u1eeb t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i sang k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n b\u1eb1ng b\u1ed9 binh. H\u1ecd cho r\u1eb1ng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn duy nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfm Tehran, ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u1eadt li\u1ec7u h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng v\u0169 l\u1ef1c, ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9i qu\u00e2n h\u00e0ng tri\u1ec7u ng\u01b0\u1eddi, r\u1ed3i sa l\u1ea7y v\u00e0o c\u00f4ng cu\u1ed9c \u201cx\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng qu\u1ed1c gia\u201d k\u00e9o d\u00e0i h\u00e0ng th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 v\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn tranh du k\u00edch ki\u1ec3u Mao. \u0110\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch\u2014\u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch ngh\u0129 h\u1eddi h\u1ee3t, d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn tranh l\u1ed7i th\u1eddi v\u00e0 thi\u00ean l\u1ec7ch.<\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u t\u1ea1m d\u1eebng 10 ng\u00e0y c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Iran, hi\u1ec7n k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 6\/4. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m g\u00ec, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 c\u00f2n nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn n\u00e0o ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n\n\n\n R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, B\u1ed9 T\u01b0 l\u1ec7nh Trung t\u00e2m M\u1ef9 (CENTCOM) v\u00e0 Israel s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00f3 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0o b\u1ed9 m\u00e1y qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Iran. Khi b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, Iran c\u00f3 h\u00e0ng ngh\u00ecn t\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea1n \u0111\u1ea1o, h\u00e0ng tr\u0103m b\u1ec7 ph\u00f3ng, m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi drone ph\u00e2n t\u00e1n, n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ea7ng \u1edf V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0, t\u00e0n d\u01b0 c\u1ee7a ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ec1n c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y \u0111ang b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y\u2014nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a b\u1ecb x\u00f3a s\u1ed5 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, Israel \u0111ang nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t th\u1ee9 c\u00f2n quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1: kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cai tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 sau khi bom \u0111\u1ea1n d\u1eebng l\u1ea1i. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 bao g\u1ed3m vi\u1ec7c truy l\u00f9ng v\u00e0 lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1, l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Basij\u2014c\u00e1nh tay \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p trong n\u01b0\u1edbc, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh v\u00e0o c\u00e1c tr\u1ea1m ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o, c\u00f9ng h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng an ninh n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0110\u00e2y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u00ean c\u1ea3 \u201ckh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng\u201d v\u00e0 \u201c\u00fd ch\u00ed\u201d c\u1ee7a Iran\u2014kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cai tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch bu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u01b0\u01a1ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i h\u00e0nh vi m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5: ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y kho t\u00ean l\u1eeda v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Iran, v\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u h\u00f3a h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111e d\u1ecda tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, v\u00e0 ng\u0103n Iran s\u1edf h\u1eefu v\u0169 kh\u00ed h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Vi\u1ec7c thay \u0111\u1ed5i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e0 bu\u1ed9c ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 thay \u0111\u1ed5i h\u00e0nh vi. Iran \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng\u2014bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 ngo\u1ea1i giao\u2014\u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn: kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfm Tehran, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 l\u00e0m t\u00ea li\u1ec7t ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9, ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 bu\u1ed9c h\u1ecd ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n N\u1ebfu ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5 d\u01b0\u1edbi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf, M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau trong m\u1ed9t b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edbi. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u1eeb \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00f4ng thu h\u1eb9p m\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1nh v\u00e0o trung t\u00e2m kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9. \u0110\u1ea3o Kharg x\u1eed l\u00fd kho\u1ea3ng 85\u201390% l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Iran (1,5\u20132 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y). \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n ngo\u1ea1i t\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh. N\u1ebfu ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y, kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 kinh t\u1ebf b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i\u2014m\u00e0 c\u1ea3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i, duy tr\u00ec m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i c\u0169ng b\u1ecb t\u00ea li\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y quan tr\u1ecdng v\u00ec ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e3 cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u mong manh. C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c bi\u1ec3u t\u00ecnh th\u00e1ng 1\/2026 xu\u1ea5t ph\u00e1t t\u1eeb l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t, kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng, thi\u1ebfu n\u01b0\u1edbc nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u00f3 b\u00e0n \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c d\u1eddi th\u1ee7 \u0111\u00f4 v\u00ec kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 n\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ea1ch. Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 b\u1eb1ng b\u1ea1o l\u1ef1c, gi\u1ebft h\u01a1n 32.000 d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng. \u00c1p l\u1ef1c kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 t\u1eebng \u0111\u1ea9y ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 \u0111\u1ebfn s\u00e1t b\u1edd v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng l\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec7n qu\u1ed1c gia. H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u0111i\u1ec7n t\u1eadp trung \u1edf c\u00e1c \u0111\u00f4 th\u1ecb l\u1edbn; \u0111\u00e1nh v\u00e0o c\u00e1c tr\u1ea1m bi\u1ebfn \u00e1p v\u00e0 n\u00fat truy\u1ec1n t\u1ea3i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y m\u1ea5t \u0111i\u1ec7n d\u00e2y chuy\u1ec1n. Tehran c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u00ecm trong b\u00f3ng t\u1ed1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec7n, h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ch\u1ec9 huy, li\u00ean l\u1ea1c, gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t v\u00e0 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 s\u1ebd t\u00ea li\u1ec7t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n C\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn m\u1ea1ng c\u00f2n m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c g\u00e2y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c n\u00e0y. Iran nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n c\u1eaft internet \u0111\u1ec3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n\u2014nh\u01b0ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u00f3 c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c. C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u00ea li\u1ec7t h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ch\u1ec9 huy c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi m\u1edf l\u1ea1i k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i. Khi \u0111\u00f3, th\u00f4ng tin tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t th\u1ee9 v\u0169 kh\u00ed: quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n, kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p v\u00e0 nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i s\u1ebd d\u1ea7n r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi tay ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m then ch\u1ed1t\u2014kho\u1ea3ng 20% ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111i qua \u0111\u00e2y. Iran l\u00e2u nay t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb r\u0103n \u0111e sang ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t: chi\u1ebfm ho\u1eb7c v\u00f4 hi\u1ec7u h\u00f3a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 Abu Musa hay c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o Tunb. \u0110\u1ea3o Qeshm c\u0169ng l\u00e0 c\u0103n c\u1ee9 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 quan tr\u1ecdng. Ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0m thay \u0111\u1ed5i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Iran ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t eo bi\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Iran c\u00f2n thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng \u201cthu ph\u00ed\u201d kh\u00f4ng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y\u2014t\u00e0u ph\u1ea3i xin ph\u00e9p, \u0111i theo tuy\u1ebfn do Iran ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed tr\u1ea3 t\u1edbi 2 tri\u1ec7u USD \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111i qua an to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Israel c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y: ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o, ph\u00e1 radar v\u00e0 trung t\u00e2m ch\u1ec9 huy, ti\u00eau di\u1ec7t t\u00e0u t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng nhanh, drone v\u00e0 t\u00ean l\u1eeda ven bi\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 ch\u1eb7n vi\u1ec7c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Iran tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n\u2014hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 1,5\u20132 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu qua m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi n\u00e9 c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn. Vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u1edf m\u1ed9t qui m\u00f4 gi\u1edbi h\u1ea1n. N\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t v\u00e0 t\u1ecbch thu t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u \u1edf quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn, ngu\u1ed3n thu c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 g\u1ea7n 0.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ti\u1ec1n\u2014kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u00ean l\u1eeda, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u1ee7y nhi\u1ec7m, kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 \u0111\u00e0n \u00e1p, nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u1ec9 s\u1ee5p \u0111\u1ed5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ed9t h\u01b0\u1edbng kh\u00e1c l\u00e0 thay \u0111\u1ed5i t\u1eeb b\u00ean trong: Iran c\u00f3 h\u01a1n 85 tri\u1ec7u d\u00e2n, tr\u1ebb, \u0111\u00f4 th\u1ecb h\u00f3a v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t m\u00e3n. Nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda d\u00e2n s\u1ed1 ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, d\u00e2n th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u tr\u00fa \u1ea9n. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i\u2014th\u00f4ng qua tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n, h\u00e0nh lang an to\u00e0n, v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn tranh t\u00e2m l\u00fd \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00e1ch d\u00e2n kh\u1ecfi ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ed1i kh\u00e1ng trong n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00f4ng qua cung c\u1ea5p v\u0169 kh\u00ed, th\u00f4ng tin v\u00e0 li\u00ean l\u1ea1c. Iran c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec3m y\u1ebfu n\u1ed9i t\u1ea1i (d\u00e2n t\u1ed9c, ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, v\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c). Khi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi kh\u00e1ng c\u1ef1 b\u00ean trong, ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 d\u1ec5 r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n C\u00f9ng l\u00fac, c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng sang to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u1ea1ng l\u01b0\u1edbi ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t: l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng, Basij, c\u1ea3nh s\u00e1t, t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n L\u1ecbch s\u1eed cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o ra chia r\u1ebd: l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 do d\u1ef1, t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o r\u1ea1n n\u1ee9t, gi\u1edbi tinh hoa t\u00e1i \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb, \u0111\u00e0o ng\u0169 x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ch\u00fang ta kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebft h\u1ebft m\u1ecdi \u0111i\u1ec3m m\u1ea1nh \u2013 y\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1 \u0111\u1ed9 tu\u1ed5i tuy\u1ec3n qu\u00e2n xu\u1ed1ng 12 cho th\u1ea5y \u00e1p l\u1ef1c r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn.<\/p>\n\n\n\n C\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i ri\u00eang l\u1ebb\u2014ch\u00fang c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p.<\/p>\n\n\n\n T\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u00e0o c\u1ea3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng v\u00e0 \u00fd ch\u00ed c\u1ee7a ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9. Kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i tu\u1ea7n t\u1ef1, m\u00e0 c\u00f9ng l\u00fac. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau l\u00e0 t\u1ea1o ra nhi\u1ec1u \u201cb\u00e0i to\u00e1n\u201d v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1eed l\u00fd c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Chi\u1ebfn tranh kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 danh s\u00e1ch vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea7n l\u00e0m\u2014m\u00e0 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p gi\u1eefa m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau, c\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c v\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n M\u1ef9 ch\u01b0a h\u1ec1 h\u1ebft l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn. V\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng\u2014th\u1eadm ch\u00ed ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng khai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, c\u1ea7n c\u1ea9n tr\u1ecdng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u201cchuy\u00ean gia\u201d n\u00f3i ch\u1eafc nh\u01b0 \u0111inh \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1ed9t. Iran kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Afghanistan hay Iraq. B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n Ch\u00fang ta bi\u1ebft nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng\u2014nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft h\u1ebft nh\u1eefng g\u00ec c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i. V\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a hai b\u00ean.<\/p>\n\n\n\n S\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 sai s\u00f3t trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch\u2014m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" John Spencer: Ch\u00fang ta bi\u1ebft nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng\u2014nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft h\u1ebft nh\u1eefng g\u00ec c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i. V\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n, ch\u01b0a bi\u1ebft c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ebfp theo c\u1ee7a hai b\u00ean. S\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 sai s\u00f3t trong ph\u00e2n t\u00edch\u2014m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1168,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[186,25,17],"tags":[189],"class_list":["post-1167","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-chien-tranh-hoa-ky-israel-va-iran","category-hoa-ky","category-trung-dong","tag-john-spencer"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1167","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1167"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1167\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1171,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1167\/revisions\/1171"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1168"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1167"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1167"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/diendanduytan.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1167"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}